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Quantifying the physical processes leading to atmospheric hot extremes at a global scale
Röthlisberger, M.; Papritz, L. (2023). Quantifying the physical processes leading to atmospheric hot extremes at a global scale. Nature Geoscience 16(3): 210-216. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01126-1
In: Nature Geoscience. Nature Publishing Group: London. ISSN 1752-0894; e-ISSN 1752-0908, meer
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  • Röthlisberger, M.
  • Papritz, L.

Abstract
    Heat waves are among the deadliest climate hazards. Yet the relative importance of the physical processes causing their near-surface temperature anomalies (?′)—advection of air from climatologically warmer regions, adiabatic warming in subsiding air and diabatic heating—is still a matter of debate. Here we quantify the importance of these processes by evaluating the ?′ budget along air-parcel backward trajectories. We first show that the extreme near-surface ?′ during the June 2021 heat wave in western North America was produced primarily by diabatic heating and, to a smaller extent, by adiabatic warming. Systematically decomposing ?′ during the hottest days of each year (TX1day events) in 1979–2020 globally, we find strong geographical variations with a dominance of advection over mid-latitude oceans, adiabatic warming near mountain ranges and diabatic heating over tropical and subtropical land masses. In many regions, however, TX1day events arise from a combination of these processes. In the global mean, TX1day anomalies form along trajectories over roughly 60 h and 1,000 km, although with large regional variability. This study thus reveals inherently non-local and regionally distinct formation pathways of hot extremes, quantifies the crucial factors determining their magnitude and enables new quantitative ways of climate model evaluation regarding hot extremes.

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