Outline of procedure for total seismic risk estimation
Sandvin, O.A. (1983). Outline of procedure for total seismic risk estimation, in: Ritsema, A.R. et al. Seismicity and seismic risk in the offshore North Sea area: Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop, held at Utrecht, The Netherlands, June 1–4, 1982. NATO ASI Series C: Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 99: pp. 397-404. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-009-7046-5_34
In: Ritsema, A.R.; Gürpinar, A. (Ed.) (1983). Seismicity and seismic risk in the offshore North Sea area: Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop, held at Utrecht, The Netherlands, June 1–4, 1982. NATO ASI Series C: Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 99. D. Reidel Publishing: Dordrecht. ISBN 90-277-1529-7. xxiv, 420 pp., more
In: NATO ASI Series C: Mathematical and Physical Sciences. D. Reidel: Dordrecht; Boston; Lancaster. ISSN 0258-2023, more
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| Abstract |
To demonstrate a systematic approach for establishing estimates of total seismic risk as associated with some well-defined geographical area and its objects, I will give a brief outline of the definitions and theoretical aspects as adapted by Keilis-Borok et al. (197M at the Institute of Physics of the Earth in Moscow in their approach to the problem. The systematic incorporation of all pertinent information bearing on the total seismic risk has resulted in a complex mathematical framework and a widely applicable model characterized by its generality. A computer version of the model is also available and is quite simple to adapt in a practical application as long as sufficient and reliable data is present. As a curiosity it might be mentioned that this approach has been adapted for the estimation of seismic risk associated with the construction of the Trans-Siberian Railway (BAM-project). |
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