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Monitoring and forecasting the ocean state and biogeochemical processes in the Black Sea: recent developments in the Copernicus Marine Service
Ciliberti, S.A.; Grégoire, M.; Staneva, J.; Palazov, A.; Coppini, G.; Lecci, R.; Peneva, E.; Matreata, M.; Marinova, V.; Masina, S.; Pinardi, N.; Jansen, E.; Lima, L.; Aydogdu, A.; Cretì, S.; Stefanizzi, L.; Azevedo, D.; Causi, S.; Vandenbulcke, L.; Capet, A.; Meulders, C.; Ivanov, E.; Behrens, A.; Ricker, M.; Gayer, G.; Palermo, F.; Ilicak, M.; Gunduz, M.; Valcheva, N.; Agostini, P. (2021). Monitoring and forecasting the ocean state and biogeochemical processes in the Black Sea: recent developments in the Copernicus Marine Service. J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 9(10): 1146. https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jmse9101146
In: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering. MDPI: Basel. ISSN 2077-1312; e-ISSN 2077-1312, more
Peer reviewed article  

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Keyword
    Marine/Coastal
Author keywords
    Black Sea; operational oceanography; physical oceanography; biogeochemistry; waves; numerical modelling; data assimilation; forecasting; reanalysis; validation

Authors  Top 
  • Ciliberti, S.A.
  • Grégoire, M., more
  • Staneva, J.
  • Palazov, A., more
  • Coppini, G.
  • Lecci, R.
  • Peneva, E.
  • Matreata, M.
  • Marinova, V.
  • Masina, S.
  • Pinardi, N.
  • Jansen, E.
  • Lima, L.
  • Aydogdu, A.
  • Cretì, S.
  • Stefanizzi, L.
  • Azevedo, D.
  • Causi, S.
  • Vandenbulcke, L., more
  • Capet, A., more
  • Meulders, C., more
  • Ivanov, E., more
  • Behrens, A.
  • Ricker, M.
  • Gayer, G.
  • Palermo, F.
  • Ilicak, M.
  • Gunduz, M.
  • Valcheva, N.
  • Agostini, P.

Abstract
    The Black Sea Monitoring and Forecasting Center (BS-MFC) is the European reference service for the provision of ocean analyses, forecasts, and reanalyses in the Black Sea basin. It is part of the Copernicus Marine Environment and Monitoring Service (CMEMS) and ensures a high level of efficiency in terms of operations, science, and technology for predictions and the monitoring of physical and biogeochemical processes in the Black Sea. The operational BS-MFC framework is based on state-of-the-art numerical models for hydrodynamics, biogeochemistry, and waves; analysis, forecast, and reanalysis are provided on a spatial grid with about 3 km of horizontal resolution that covers the whole Black Sea basin (the Azov Sea is not included). The scientific assessment of BS-MFC products is performed by implementing a product quality dashboard that provides pre-qualification and operational model skills according to GODAE/OceanPredict standards. Novel interfaces based on high-resolution models are part of the scientific development plan to ensure a strong connection with the nearest seas from a modelling point of view, in particular with the Mediterranean Sea. To improve forecasting skills, dedicated online coupled systems are being developed, which involve physics, biogeochemistry, and waves together with the atmosphere and, in the future, with ensemble forecasting methodologies and river-ocean interfaces.

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