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Prof. Dr Eng. Willems, Patrick
ORCID ResearcherID

Institute
Publications (67)
Projects (2)

KU Leuven; Afdeling Hydraulica, more

Function: Head Lecturer
Direct contact at institute:
Tel.: +32-(0)16-32 16 58
Fax: +32-(0)16-32 19 89
E-mail:

Climate change impact on hydrological extremes along rivers and urban drainage systems, more
Innovative coastal technologies for safer European coasts in a changing climate, more

A1 Publications (18) [show]
Bertola, Miriam; Blöschl, Günter; Bohac, Milon; Borga, Marco; Castellarin, Attilio; Chirico, Giovanni B.; Claps, Pierluigi; Dallan, Eleonora; Danilovich, Irina; Ganora, Daniele; Gorbachova, Liudmyla; Ledvinka, Ondrej; Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria; Montanari, Alberto; Ovcharuk, Valeriya; Viglione, Alberto; Volpi, Elena; Arheimer, Berit; Aronica, Giuseppe Tito; Bonacci, Ognjen; Čanjevac, Ivan; Csik, Andras; Frolova, Natalia; Gnandt, Boglarka; Gribovszki, Zoltan; Gül, Ali; Günther, Knut; Guse, Björn; Hannaford, Jamie; Harrigan, Shaun; Kireeva, Maria; Kohnová, Silvia; Komma, Jürgen; Kriauciuniene, Jurate; Kronvang, Brian; Lawrence, Deborah; Lüdtke, Stefan; Mediero, Luis; Merz, Bruno; Molnar, Peter; Murphy, Conor; Oskoruš, Dijana; Osuch, Marzena; Parajka, Juraj; Pfister, Laurent; Radevski, Ivan; Sauquet, Eric; Schröter, Kai; Šraj, Mojca; Szolgay, Jan; Turner, Stephen; Valent, Peter; Veijalainen, Noora; Ward, Philip J.; Willems, Patrick; Zivkovic, Nenad (2023). Megafloods in Europe can be anticipated from observations in hydrologically similar catchments. Nature Geoscience 16(11): 982-988. https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01300-5, more Bertels, D.; Willems, P. (2022). Climate change impact on salinization of drinking water inlets along the Campine Canals, Belgium. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 42: 101129. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101129, more Bermúdez, M.; Farfán, J.F.; Willems, P.; Cea, L. (2021). Assessing the effects of climate change on compound flooding in coastal river areas. Water Resour. Res. 57(10): e2020WR029321. https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020WR029321, more Meert, P.; Pereira, F.; Willems, P. (2016). Computationally efficient modelling of tidal rivers using conceptual reservoir-type models. Environ. Model. Softw. 77: 19-31. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.11.010, more Dams, J.; Nossent, J.; Senbeta, T.B.; Willems, P.; Batelaan, O. (2015). Multi-model approach to assess the impact of climate change on runoff. J. Hydrol. (Amst.) 529: 1601-1616. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.08.023, more De Vleeschauwer, K.; Weustenraad, J.; Nolf, C.; Wolfs, V.; De Meulder, B.; Shannon, K.; Willems, P. (2014). Green–blue water in the city: quantification of impact of source control versus end-of-pipe solutions on sewer and river floods. Wat. Sci. Tech. 70.11(11): 1825-1837. https://dx.doi.org/10.2166/wst.2014.306, more Monbaliu, J.; Chen, Z.; Felts, D.; Ge, J.; Hissel, F.; Kappenberg, J.; Narayan, S.; Nicholls, R.J.; Ohle, N.; Schuster, D.; Sothmann, J.; Willems, P. (2014). Risk assessment of estuaries under climate change: lessons from Western Europe. Coast. Eng. 87: 32-49. https://hdl.handle.net/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2014.01.001, more Narayan, S.; Nicholls, R.J.; Clarke, D.; Hanson, S.; Reeve, D.; Horrillo-Caraballo, J.; le Cozannet, G.; Hissel, F.; Kowalska, B.; Parda, R.; Willems, P.; Ohle, N.; Zanuttigh, B.; Losada, I.; Ge, J.; Trifonova, E.; Penning-Rowsell, E.; Vanderlinden, J.P. (2014). The SPR systems model as a conceptual foundation for rapid integrated risk appraisals: Lessons from Europe. Coast. Eng. 87: 15-31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2013.10.021, more Tabari, H.; Talaee, H; Some'e, S; Willems, P. (2014). Possible influences of North Atlantic Oscillation on winter reference evapotranspiration in Iran. Global Planet. Change 117: 28-39. dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.03.006, more Vansteenkiste, T.; Tavakoli, M.; Van Steenbergen, N.; De Smedt, F.; Batelaan, O.; Pereira, F.; Willems, P. (2014). Intercomparison of five lumped and distributed models for catchment runoff and extreme flow simulation. J. Hydrol. (Amst.) 511: 335-349. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.01.050, more Vansteenkiste, T.; Tavakoli, M.; Ntegeka, V.; De Smedt, F.; Batelaan, O.; Pereira, F.; Willems, P. (2014). Intercomparison of hydrological model structures and calibration approaches in climate scenario impact projections. J. Hydrol. (Amst.) 519: 743-755. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.07.062, more Weisse, R.; Bellafiore, D.; Menéndez, M.; Méndez, F.; Nicholls, R.J.; Umgiesser, G.; Willems, P. (2014). Changing extreme sea levels along European coasts. Coast. Eng. 87: 4-14. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2013.10.017, more Willems, P.; Mora, D.; Vansteenkiste, T.; Teferi Taye, M.; Van Steenbergen, N. (2014). Parsimonious rainfall-runoff model construction supported by time series processing and validation of hydrological extremes – Part 2: Intercomparison of models and calibration approaches. J. Hydrol. (Amst.) 510: 591-609. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.01.028, more Van Steenbergen, N.; Willems, P. (2013). Increasing river flood preparedness by real-time warning based on wetness state conditions. J. Hydrol. (Amst.) 489: 227-237. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.03.015, more Willems, P. (2013). Adjustment of extreme rainfall statistics accounting for multidecadal climate oscillations. J. Hydrol. (Amst.) 490: 126-133. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.03.034, more Willems, P. (2013). Multidecadal oscillatory behaviour of rainfall extremes in Europe. Clim. Change 120(4): 931-944. https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0837-x, more Narayan, S.; Hanson, S.; Nicholls, R.J.; Clarke, D.; Willems, P.; Ntegeka, V.; Monbaliu, J. (2012). A holistic model for coastal flooding using system diagrams and the Source-Pathway-Receptor (SPR) concept. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 12(5): 1431-1439. dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-1431-2012, more Van Steenbergen, N.; Ronsyn, J.; Willems, P. (2012). A non-parametric data-based approach for probabilistic flood forecasting in support of uncertainty communication. Environ. Model. Softw. 33: 92-105. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.01.013, more
Peer reviewed publications (4) [show]
Nguyen, D.A.; Thanh, T.N.; Vu, M.C.; Willems, P.; Monbaliu, J. (2017). Setting up a simplified salt intrusion model with data from a hydrological network. JRBM 15(2): 145-159. https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2016.1274320, more Willems, P.; Lloyd-Hughes, B. (2016). Projected change - river flow and urban drainage, in: Quante, M. et al. North Sea region climate change assessment. Regional Climate Studies, : pp. 219-237. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-39745-0_7, more Ntegeka, V.; Willems, P.; Monbaliu, J. (2012). On the relative importance of the climate change factors along the river Scheldt considering climate scenarios for upstream inland and downstream coastal (mean sea level and surge) boundary conditions. Geophys. Res. Abstr. 14(EGU2012-12156): 1 pp, more Ntegeka, V.; Willems, P.; Monbaliu, J. (2011). Incorporating the correlation between upstream inland, downstream coastal and surface boundary conditions into climate scenarios for flood impact analysis along the river Scheldt. Geophys. Res. Abstr. 13(6554), more
Book chapters (9) [show]
Meert, P.; Pereira, F.; Willems, P. (2015). Computationally efficient modelling of tidal rivers using conceptual reservoir-type models, in: E-proceedings of the 36th IAHR World Congress 28 June – 3 July, 2015, The Hague, the Netherlands. pp. [1-12], more Monbaliu, J.; Bi, Q.; Bouma, T.J.; Toorman, E.A.; van Belzen, J.; Willems, P. (2015). Extreme estuarine water levels and channel morphology, effect on flood extents and habitat resilience: the Scheldt Estuary, Belgium and the Netherlands, in: Coastal Risk Management in a Changing Climate. pp. 332-357. dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-397310-8.00007-5, more Ntegeka, V.; Decloedt, C.; Willems, P.; Monbaliu, J. (2013). Quantifying the impact of climate change from inland, coastal and surface conditions, in: Klijn, F. et al. (Ed.) Proceedings of the 2nd European Conference on Flood Risk Management FLOODrisk2012, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, 19-23 November 2012: Comprehensive flood risk management: research for policy and practice. pp. 103-111, more Brouwers, J.; Peeters, B.; Willems, P.; Deckers, P.; De Maeyer, Ph.; Vanneuville, W. (2009). Klimaatverandering en waterhuishouding, in: Van Steertegem, M. (Ed.) Milieuverkenning 2030: milieurapport Vlaanderen. pp. 283-304, more Paridaens, K.; Plancke, Y.; Schrijver, M.; Willems, P. (2009). Comparison of measurement techniques for monitoring sediment transport, under field conditions, in the Scheldt estuary, in: 6th International SedNet conference on 7-8 October 2009, Hamburg, Germany: The Role of Sediments in Coastal Management. pp. [1], more Willems, P. (2009). Invloed van de klimaatverandering op de waterhuishouding in Vlaanderen, in: ARGUS/VLEVA-SYMPOSIUM “Het Belgisch EU- voozitterschap: Het klimaat verandert?, Brussel, 26 Oktober 2009. , more Willems, P.; Baguis, P.; Ducharme, A.; Viennot, P.; Verwaest, T. (2008). Impact van klimaatverandering op hydrologische en hydraulische extremen in de Schelde- en Seine-rivierbekkens en langs de Noordzeekust, in: Congres Water en Klimaatverandering, 14 en 15 oktober 2008: abstracts van lezingen en posters = Conférence eau et changement climatique 14 et 15 octobre 2008: résumés des présentations et des posters. pp. 5-12, more Willems, P.; Verwaest, T. (2008). Analysis of the extreme value distribution’s tail of coastal water levels: influence of independence criteria, sea level rise and convolution of astronomic and storm surge components, in: McKee Smith, J. (Ed.) (2009). Proceedings of the 31st International Conference on Coastal Engineering 2008, Hamburg, Germany, 31 August to 5 September 2008. , more Vanneuville, W.; Van Eerdenbrugh, K.; Viaene, P.; Willems, P. (2007). Impact of climate change on high and low discharge on Flemish rivers, in: Heinonen, M. (Ed.) Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Climate and Water, Helsinki, Finland, 3-6 September 2007. pp. 494-499, more
Abstracts (3) [show]
Willems, P.; Deckers, P.; De Maeyer, Ph.; De Sutter, R.; Vanneuville, W.; Brouwers, J.; Peeters, B. (2010). Environmental outlook towards 2030 for the Flanders region of Belgium: possible climate changes and their consequences for the water systems, in: Abstracts Scientific Programme Deltas in Depth: Deltas in Times of Climate Change, Rotterdam 2010, Connecting World Science and Deltas, International conference, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, 29 September - 1 October 2010. pp. 48-49, more Willems, P.; Ntegeka, V.; Baguis, P.; Roulin, E.; Vansteenkiste, T.; Holvoet, K. (2010). Climate change impacts on hydrological extremes (floods, low flows) along rivers in the Scheldt and Meuse basins in Belgium, in: 4th Belgian Geography Days: Geography in a changing World, 22 - 23 October 2010, Leuven, Belgium. pp. [1], more Willems, P.; Baguis, P.; Ducharme, A.; Viennot, P.; Verwaest, T. (2008). Impact du changement climatique sur les extrêmes hydrologiques et hydrauliques dans les bassins de l'Escaut et de la Seine, et sur le littoral de la Mer du Nord, in: Congres Water en Klimaatverandering, 14 en 15 oktober 2008: abstracts van lezingen en posters = Conférence eau et changement climatique 14 et 15 octobre 2008: résumés des présentations et des posters. pp. 13-14, more
Reports (19) [show]
Van De Moortel, I.; Van den Berg, M.; Messens, F.; Thant, S.; Michielsen, S.; Brackx, M.; Hyde, P.; De Clercq, B.; Willems, P. (2021). Analyse van waterstanden in het Schelde-estuarium gedurende windluwe periodes. Versie 3.0. Antea Group: Antwerpen. 189 pp., more Van Schaeybroeck, B.; Mendoza Paz, S.; Willems, P.; Termonia, P.; van Lipzig, N.; van Ypersele, J.P.; Fettweis, X.; De Ridder, K.; Stavrakou, T.; Lacroix, G.; Pottiaux, E. (2021). Coherent Integration of climate projections into Climate ADaptation plAnning tools for BElgium. Final Report. (BRAIN-be - (Belgian Research Action through Interdisciplinary Networks)). Belgian Science Policy Office: Brussels. 21 pp., more Willems, P. (2019). Actualisatie van de extreme-waarden-statistiek van stormvloeden aan de kust. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium/KU Leuven: Antwerpen. 26 pp., more Termonia, P.; Willems, P.; van Lipzig, N.; van Ypersele, J.P.; Fettweis, X.; De Ridder, K.; Gobin, A.; Stavrakou, T.; Ponsar, S.; Pottiaux, E.; Van Schaeybroeck, B.; De Cruz, L.; De Troch, R.; Giot, O.; Hamdi, R.; Vannitsem, S.; Duchêne, F.; Bertrand, C.; Tabari, H.; van Uytven, E.; Hosseinzadehtalaei, P.; Wouters, H.; Vanden Broucke, S.; Demuzere, M.; Marbaix, P.; Villanueva-Birriel, C.; Wyard, C.; Scholzen, C.; Doutreloup, S.; Lauwaet, D.; Bauwens, M.; Müller, J.-F.; Van den Eynde, D. (2018). Combining regional downscaling expertise in Belgium: CORDEX and beyond: Final Report. (BRAIN-be - (Belgian Research Action through Interdisciplinary Networks)). Belgian Science Policy: Brussels. 122 pp., more Brouwers, J.; Peeters, B.; Van Steertegem, M.; van Lipzig, N.; Wouters, H.; Beullens, J.; Demuzere, M.; Willems, P.; De Ridder, K.; Maiheu, B.; De Troch, R.; Termonia, P.; Vansteenkiste, T.; Craninx, M.; Maetens, W.; Defloor, W.; Cauwenberghs, K. (2015). MIRA klimaatrapport 2015: over waargenomen en toekomstige klimaatveranderingen. Vlaamse Milieumaatschappij (VMM)/KU Leuven/VITO/KMI: Aalst. ISBN 9789491385469. 147 pp., more van Lipzig, N.P.M.; Willems, P. (2015). Actualisatie en verfijning klimaatscenario’s tot 2100 voor Vlaanderen: appendix 2: nieuwe modelprojecties voor Ukkel op basis van globale klimaatmodellen (CMIP5) en actualisatie klimaatscenario’s. MIRA-onderzoeksrapporten, 2015/03. Vlaamse Milieumaatschappij/KU Leuven: Mechelen. ISBN 9789491385414. 107 pp., more van Lipzig, N.P.M.; Willems, P. (2015). Actualisatie en verfijning klimaatscenario’s tot 2100 voor Vlaanderen: appendix 1: nieuwe modelprojecties voor Ukkel op basis van Europese en Belgische fijnmazige klimaatmodellen. MIRA-onderzoeksrapporten, 2015/02. Vlaamse Milieumaatschappij/KU Leuven: Mechelen. ISBN 9789491385407. 35 pp., more van Lipzig, N.P.M.; Willems, P. (2015). Actualisatie en verfijning klimaatscenario’s tot 2100 voor Vlaanderen: Hoofdrapport. MIRA-onderzoeksrapporten, 2015/01. Vlaamse Milieumaatschappij/KU Leuven: Mechelen. ISBN 978-94-9138-539-1. 82 pp., more Willems, P. (2015). Actualisatie van de extreme-waarden-statistiek van stormvloeden aan de Belgische kust. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium/KU Leuven: Antwerpen. 31 pp., more Vansteenkiste, T.; Pereira, F.; Willems, P.; Mostaert, F. (2012). Effect of climate change on the hydrological regime of navigable water courses in Belgium: Subreport 2 - Climate change impact analysis by conceptual models. versie 2.0. WL Rapporten, 706_18. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium: Antwerpen. V, 45 pp., more Vansteenkiste, T.; Pereira, F.; Willems, P.; Mostaert, F. (2012). Effect of climate change on the hydrological regime of navigable water courses in Belgium: subreport 3 - Climate change impact analysis by distributed models. versie 2.0. WL Rapporten, 706_18. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium: Antwerpen. VI, 69 pp., more Vansteenkiste, T.; Pereira, F.; Willems, P.; Mostaert, F. (2012). Effect of climate change on the hydrological regime of navigable water courses in Belgium: subreport 5. Comparison of lumped and distributed models in the climate change impact assessment. Versie 2.0. WL Rapporten, 706_18. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium/K.U. Leuven: Antwerpen. III, 32 pp., more Vansteenkiste, T.; Pereira, F.; Willems, P.; Vanneuville, W.; Van Eerdenbrugh, K.; Mostaert, F. (2011). Effect of climate change on the hydrological regime of navigable water courses: Subreport 1. Literature review of the climate research in Belgium. Version 2.0. WL Rapporten, 706_18. Flanders Hydraulics Research: Antwerp. III, 46 pp., more Vansteenkiste, T.; Holvoet, K.; Willems, P.; Vanneuville, W.; Deckers, P.; Mostaert, F. (2009). Effect van klimaatwijzigingen op afvoerdebieten in hoog- en laagwatersituaties en op de globale waterbeschikbaarheid: gevalstudie voor de Maas. Versie 2.0. WL Rapporten, 706_13a. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium/Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (KUL): Antwerpen. III, 14 pp., more Willems, P.; Deckers, P.; De Maeyer, P.; De Sutter, R.; Vanneuville, W.; Brouwers, J.; Peeters, B. (2009). MIRA 2009 en NARA 2009: wetenschappelijk rapport klimaatverandering en waterhuishouding. Rapport van het Instituut voor Natuur- en Bosonderzoek, 2009.45. Instituut voor Natuur- en Bosonderzoek (INBO)/Vlaamse Milieumaatschappij (VMM): Mechelen. 100 pp., more Boukhris, O.; Willems, P.; Vanneuville, W.; Van Eerdenbrugh, K. (2008). Climate change impact on hydrological extremes in Flanders: regional differences. WL Rapporten, 706_13. Flanders Hydraulics Research/KU Leuven: Antwerpen. 91 pp., more Willems, P. (2007). Extreme-waarden-analyse hoogwaterstanden te Oostende. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium: Antwerpen. I, 14 pp., more Blanckaert, J.; Willems, P. (2006). Opstellen van een methode voor het inrekenen van de klimaatsverandering in de composiethydrogrammethode: analyse trends en cycli. WL Rapporten, 706_10-2. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium: Antwerpen. I, 83 pp., more Berlamont, J.; Willems, P.; Qvick, A.; Vaes, G.; Feyen, J.; Christiaens, K. (2000). Algemene methodologie voor het modelleren van de waterafvoer in bevaarbare waterlopen in Vlaanderen. Waterbouwkundig Laboratorium: Antwerpen. VIII, 158 pp., more
Other publications (10) [show]
Ntegeka, V.; Willems, P.; Monbaliu, J. (2011). Incorporating the correlation between upstream inland, downstream coastal and surface boundary conditions into climate scenarios for flood impact analysis along the river Scheldt. Poster at the European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2011 Vienna, Austria, 03 - 08 April 2011. KUL. Faculty of Engineering. Hydraulics Division: Leuven. 1 poster pp., more Willems, P.; Verwaest, T. (2009). Extreme value analysis of coastal levels, with and without convolution of astronomic and storm surge components, in: McKee Smith, J. (Ed.) Proceedings of the 31st International Conference on Coastal Engineering 2008, Hamburg, Germany, 31 August to 5 September 2008. pp. 4099-4108. dx.doi.org/10.1142/9789814277426_0340, more Willems, P.; Vanneuville, W.; Verwaest, T.; Berlamont, J.; Monbaliu, J. (2008). Invloed van klimaatverandering in Vlaanderen. Het Ingenieursblad 11-12: 28-33, more Willems, P.; Boukhris, O.; Berlamont, J.; Van Eerdenbrugh, K.; Viaene, P.; Blanckaert, J. (2007). Impact van klimaatverandering op Vlaamse rivieren. Het Ingenieursblad 76(1): 28-33, more Plevoets, B.; Vanbrabant, S.; Van Dyck, J.; Willems, P. (1998). Risicoanalyse van dijken langs de Grensmaas. Water 17(99): 50-60, more Plevoets, B.; Vanbrabant, S.; Van Dyck, J.; Willems, P. (1998). Risicoanalyse van dijken langs de Grensmaas. Water 17(99): 50-60, more Willems, P.; Huysentruyt, H.; Berlamont, J.; Gonella, M. (1996). Een dynamisch waterkwaliteitsmodel als beleidsinstrument. Water 16(87): 59-66, more Vaes, G.; Willems, P.; Berlamont, J. (1995). Milieugerichte motivatie voor de vermindering van de impakt vanwege riooloverstorten op de ontvangende oppervlaktewateren: deel 2. Water 14(84): 182-186, more Berlamont, J.; Vaes, G.; Willems, P. (1994). Randvoorzieningen aan rioolstelsels. Water 13(79): 206-210, more Vaes, G.; Willems, P.; Berlamont, J. (1994). Een kritische kijk op IDF-relaties. Water 13(79): 229-236, more
Thesis (co-)promotor (4) [show]
Van der Wee, X. (2012). Hydraulische studie naar de onderwaterzetting van de IJzervlakte tijdens WOI. MSc Thesis. Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. Faculteit Ingenieurswetenschappen: Leuven. 114 pp., more Decloedt, L.C. (2011). Impact of climate change on storm surges at the Belgian coast. MA Thesis. K.U. Leuven: Leuven. 92 pp., more Vissers, S.; Wolfs, V. (2011). Adaptieve maatregelen tegen overstromingen in functie van de toekomstige klimaatverandering. MSc Thesis. Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. Faculteit Ingenieurswetenschappen: Leuven. 205 pp., more Van Steenbergen, N.; Verbelen, J. (2009). Adaptieve maatregelen tegen overstromingen in functie van de toekomstige klimaatverandering. Ir Thesis. Katholieke Universiteit Leuven. Afdeling Hydraulica: Leuven. XIII, 119 pp., more