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A revised position for the primary strand of the Pleistocene-Holocene San Andreas fault in southern California
Blisniuk, K.; Scharer, K.; Sharp, W.D.; Burgmann, R.; Amos, C.; Rymer, M. (2021). A revised position for the primary strand of the Pleistocene-Holocene San Andreas fault in southern California. Science Advances 7(13): eaaz5691. https://hdl.handle.net/10.1126/sciadv.aaz5691
In: Science Advances. AAAS: New York. ISSN 2375-2548; e-ISSN 2375-2548, more
Peer reviewed article  

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Authors  Top 
  • Blisniuk, K.
  • Scharer, K.
  • Sharp, W.D.
  • Burgmann, R.
  • Amos, C.
  • Rymer, M.

Abstract
    The San Andreas fault has the highest calculated time-dependent probability for large-magnitude earthquakes in southern California. However, where the fault is multistranded east of the Los Angeles metropolitan area, it has been uncertain which strand has the fastest slip rate and, therefore, which has the highest probability of a destructive earthquake. Reconstruction of offset Pleistocene-Holocene landforms dated using the uranium-thorium soil carbonate and beryllium-10 surface exposure techniques indicates slip rates of 24.1 ± 3 millimeter per year for the San Andreas fault, with 21.6 ± 2 and 2.5 ± 1 millimeters per year for the Mission Creek and Banning strands, respectively. These data establish the Mission Creek strand as the primary fault bounding the Pacific and North American plates at this latitude and imply that 6 to 9 meters of elastic strain has accumulated along the fault since the most recent surface-rupturing earthquake, highlighting the potential for large earthquakes along this strand.

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