Document of bibliographic reference 126620

BibliographicReference record

Type
Bibliographic resource
Type of document
Journal article
BibLvlCode
AS
Title
Modelling and forecasting the fortnightly cladoceran abundance in the Saronikos Gulf (Aegean Sea)
Abstract
In the present study, we evaluated the ability of dynamic regression on the basis of itsefficiency to model and forecast the fortnightly abundance of cladocerans during 1989-1993 in a coastal region of the eastern Saronikos Gulf (Aegean Sea). The following dynamic regression model explained 79% of the variability of the transformed cladoceran abundance during the fitting period (January 1989-December 1992): hi (cladocerans), = 0.4314 hi (chlorophyll a) - 5.9013 hi (salinity) + 8.7760 In (temperature) + 0.2371 hi (cladocerans),.20- The model always predicted the start and the end of the cladoceran season, and forecasted the cumulative cladoceran abundance during January-December 1993 with an absolute percentage error of 14.5%. The positive effect of sea temperature and chlorophyll a, and the negative effect of salinity, on cladoceran abundance are all consistent with previous studies. The positive relationship between cladoceran abundance at times t and t - 20 approximates the seasonal cycle of their abundance.
WebOfScience code
https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS%3A000075260000008
Bibliographic citation
Christou, E.; Stergiou, K.I. (1998). Modelling and forecasting the fortnightly cladoceran abundance in the Saronikos Gulf (Aegean Sea). J. Plankton Res. 20(7): 1313-1320
Topic
Marine
Is peer reviewed
true

Authors

author
Name
Epaminondas Christou
author
Name
Konstantinos Stergiou

Document metadata

date created
2008-10-03
date modified
2008-10-03