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Modeling land-use change in a decision-support system for coastal-zone management
de Kok, J.-L.; Engelen, G.; White, R.; Wind, H.G. (2001). Modeling land-use change in a decision-support system for coastal-zone management. Environ. Model. Assessm. 6(2): 123-132. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1011587222253
Peer reviewed article  
Available in  Authors 
Keywords
    Cellular automata
    Management > Ecosystem management > Coastal zone management
    ISEW, Indonesia, Sulawesi [Marine Regions]
    Marine/Coastal
Author keywords
    Decision-support system; Land-use change; Rapid assessment
Authors  Top 
  • de Kok, J.-L.
  • Engelen, G., more
  • White, R.
  • Wind, H.G., more
Abstract
    RaMCo is a prototype version of a decision-support system for coastal-zone management. The model is based on the findings of a multidisiciplinary research program, conducted in Southwest Sulawesi, Indonesia. Different management strategies can be compared on the basis of the short- and long-term consequences. Land-use change has been included in RaMCo in view of the impacts of land-based human activities on the marine environment. The key aspect of the model is a combination of the temporal dynamics of land-use change on the regional (macro-level) scale and spatial dynamics on the local (micro-level) scale. Constrained cellular automata are used to integrate both scale levels. The state changes of the cells depend on the consistency with the macro-scale model, local geographical conditions, and interaction with neighboring cells. In this paper, we discuss the underlying theoretical assumptions of the macro-scale and micro-scale models, some characteristic results for land-use change in the study area, and the validation problem.
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